Conservative Bastion
The only blog that can factually claim to shift the Bell Curve, along with the hearts & minds of America, to the right.
Monday, October 09, 2006
North Korea Tests Nuke?

It looks like North Korea has the bomb…or do they? They conducted a “nuclear test” this weekend, but there seems to be some question as to what caused the explosion.

Like earthquakes, large explosions send out shockwaves that can be detected on seismographs. Big nuclear bombs make big waves, with clear signatures that make them fairly easy to detect, analyze and confirm that they were caused by splitting atoms. But smaller blasts _ as North Korea's appears to have been _ are trickier to break down.

This leaves a couple possibilities. Either North Korea faked the test with conventional explosives, or their nuclear bomb turned out to be a dud. I suppose it is also possible that the test went perfectly well, and our instruments malfunctioned/Bush lied.

His agency estimated the North Korean blast at around 1 kiloton or less _ equivalent to the explosive force of 1,000 tons of TNT. For a nuclear device, that would be so weak that the French defense minister suggested that "there could have been a failure" with the North Korean reported test.

As much as I would like to believe they faked the whole thing, it seems unrealistic to believe they would fake a nuclear blast with such a small amount of explosives. Surely they know that they couldn’t fake a nuclear detonation with merely 1,000 tons of TNT.

This particular event aside, it is important to note why North Korea seeks nuclear weapons in the first place. Their goal is to create an impossible situation for the United States – and they have succeeded. More specifically, they want to make it impossible for the US to invade them, and that’s what they have – with or without the nuke.

For those of you who don’t know why this is read this, but here is a little sample:

The biggest military concern in striking North Korean nuclear facilities is the threat of North Korean counter-attacks. Seoul, the South Korean capitol, lies within range of North Korean long-range artillery. Five hundred 170mm Koksan guns and 200 multiple-launch rocket systems could hit Seoul with artillery shells and chemical weapons, causing panic and massive civilian casualties. North Korea has between 500 and 600 Scud missiles that could strike targets throughout South Korea with conventional warheads or chemical weapons.

Obviously, adding a handful of nukes to this already potent arsenal would do much for the North Korean military.

That being said, I am not sure if we should be afraid of North Korea. Kim Jong-Il knows that if he launches a nuke, his rule will end and he will die. He will not allow that to happen.

North Korea will only be a huge threat if they start selling weapons to terrorists. Until then, I think we have bigger problems.

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Blogger Democrat said...
I don't see Iran as a problem, to be honest. As long as the IAEA keeps an eye on them, I think things will be fine. I think the neo-cons are making a big deal over Iran because they want to fulfill the PNAC agenda in its entirety.

This is a Jews vs. Muslim thing. The PNAC is almost all Jewish. Others, non-Jews, have joined, but the orginal members are all Jewish. Muslims and Jews hate each other so much that they will sacrifice innocent lives. Now, this is not true for every Jew or Muslim --- I am speaking of the PNAC type Jews, and the Osama bin Laden type Muslims.


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